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Gold soaring!Xin Gao collapsed in an instant, and mysterious news revealed the trend. How can investors grasp the Golden Aircraft's encounter?IntersectionBroadcast article()

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更新时间:2024-02-28 18:01:32
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Gold caught up on Monday,热门新闻 and once rose more than 3%, refreshing a record high of more than $ 2130/ounce, but then abandoned most of the increase.

(Image source: Forextime)

Last Friday, Jerom Powell's pigeon remarks had a negative impact on the yields of US dollars/ounces and Treasury bonds, which made gold -absorbing assets highly sought after.Investors' enthusiasm for gold seems to have further intensified on weekends. As the interest rate cuts increase, the bulls have entered a higher gear.

Despite the sharp decline in the price, gold has basically maintained a bullish due to political risks and the expected growth of US interest rate cuts in 2024.In fact, since the low of October last year, this precious metal has risen by about 15%, and it is still relatively far from $ 2,000 per ounce in the psychological barrier.

According to the analysis of FXTM, the price of gold is still on the rise, but if the current daily candle map forms the Shooting Star mode, this may be threatened.

(Image source: Forextime)

This may be another rising week of gold. The focus of investment will fall on a key US economic report. These reports may affect the expectations of Fed's actions that Fed will take after 2023.

The following are some incidents that may affect gold in the next few days this week.

American Data+November Employment Report

For the US economy, this week is a weekly data dense, and all eyes will be concentrated on the latest non -agricultural employment report on Friday.

The market forecast the Fed's interest rate hike operation has ended, and the next step will be implemented in 2024.Last Friday, Powell's pigeon comments only strengthened this expectation, and traders have now priced at the probability of 67%of the 25 basis points at the 25th basis of March 2024.

The real market promotion factors this week are likely to be the November employment report.The market is expected to create 185,000 jobs last month, and the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.9%.If the overall economic data and non -agricultural employment reports are disappointing, this may support gold prices because the expectations of interest rate cuts will increase.However, economic data that is stronger than expected may weaken gold, especially if traders are stabilized when they delay interest rate cuts.

Geopolical tension situation

The end of the Pakistani Fire Agreement may exacerbate risk avoidance and investors' concerns.

The ceasefire agreement, which began on November 24, ended on Friday after the negotiations were in a deadlock.The temporary ceasefire agreement has triggered expectations for long -term peace agreements that may reduce political risks.However, the outbreak of Pakistani conflicts may cause investors to rush to risk aversion destinations like gold.It should be noted that the signs of the upgrading of tensions in the Middle East may weaken risk and emotion, thereby boosting gold prices.However, any signs of alleviating tensions may boost market sentiment and drag down the price of gold.

Technical factors

After a sharp rise in the morning on Monday, the price fell rapidly, recovering most of the increase.

Nevertheless, from the perspective of the daily chart, gold still keeps bullish, because there has always been a high high and lower low point, and the price is still peak at 50 days, 100 days, and 200 days.However, the relatively strong and weak index (RSI) exceeds 70, indicating that the price is seriously buying.In addition, if the current daily candle map is closed in Shooting Star mode, this may pose a threat to the heders.If the $ 2035/ounce is proven to be a reliable support, the price may rebound back to $ 2070/ounce and $ 2100/ounce.If it falls below $ 2035/ounce, it may trigger selling to USD 2010/ounce and $ 2,000/ounce.

(Image source: Forextime)

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